Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gosport Borough		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.45
	2.38	3.35	2.45
	2.39	3.49	2.59
	2.44	3.65	2.59	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.55
	2.35	3.46	2.51
	2.41	3.50	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.68)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	2.52 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
38.1%

Draw
26%

Taunton Town
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gosport Borough - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Jallow A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 2 - 0, Caborn T. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Robinson S. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Campbell K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 3.

In recent matches, Gosport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Taunton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gosport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gosport	14	6	3	5	22:18	4	21
10	Taunton	12	6	1	5	32:25	7	19

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Sholing - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gosport Borough - Malvern Town	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Frome Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Gosport Borough - Hanworth Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
15.08.26	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Taunton Town - Malvern Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1
08.11.25	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	2:3
14.01.25	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	3:1
11.01.25	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	5:1
English Southern League South Division
26.03.22	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	0:0
20.11.21	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	2:1

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