Match Info

1. MFL - Round 27

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Boris Trajkovski (Skopje)


	Gostivar		Shkupi

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.82	3.15	4.3
	1.91	3.08	4.17
	1.72	3.2	4.5
	1.85	3	4.45
	1.82	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	4.29 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gostivar
49.7%

Draw
29.1%

Shkupi
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

21%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gostivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Shkupi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gostivar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gostivar - Shkupi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasilev V. (G) 23. Aosman A. 8. Aydogan O. 77. Dervishi E. 9. Erwin L. 33. Glisic D. 10. Ivanovski I. 99. Kalanoski A. 5. Kirovski A. 26. Potuk A. (C) 24. Trajcevski D.	13. Denkovski D. (G) 28. Ajetovikj N. 6. Ansah C. 3. Asani X. 2. Blazevski K. 37. Diene A. 9. Ibishi D. 31. Imeri D. 11. Kadriu F. 32. Lichina E. 10. Ramani H. (C)
Substitutes
91. Abazi B. (G) 6. Ajdini R. 14. Dirar N. 11. Elmas M. 30. Gjorgjievski K. 15. Hamzikj M. 90. Husmani Z. 7. Jusufi N. 16. Murati M. 27. Rifadov A. 4. Zuka F.	70. Avornyo E. 7. Daci B. 5. Gueye E. 30. Ismaili A. 19. Kurtish M. 21. Mehmed A. 36. Meljachi A. (G) 90. Stojanovski G. 4. Tosevski K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Imeri D. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Glisic D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Gostivar is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gostivar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Gostivar - Voska Sport	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Tikveš - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gostivar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	AP Brera Strumica - Gostivar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW
- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.04.25	Shkupi - Rabotnički	0:0 ✺
31.03.25	Struga - Shkupi	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Shkupi - Pelister	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Shkupi - Besa Dobërdoll	2:3 ✺
05.03.25	Tikveš - Shkupi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
03.11.24	Shkupi - Gostivar	0:1
18.08.24	Gostivar - Shkupi	2:0
01.05.24	Gostivar - Shkupi	2:0
29.11.23	Gostivar - Shkupi	0:0
27.08.23	Shkupi - Gostivar	3:1
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Gostivar - Shkupi	1:0

Gostivar - Shkupi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide