Match Info

1. MFL - Round 14

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Shkupi		Pelister

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.15	1.38
	4.07	3.89	1.64
	3.38	4.23	1.80	Watch
	4.23	3.9	1.67
	2.54	3.33	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.49)	3.9 ↑ (3.46)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkupi
22.3%

Draw
24.1%

Pelister
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

24%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkupi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Shkupi - Pelister Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Pelister (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Shkupi (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Pelister will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pelister will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkupi (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Pelister (votes: 15 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grote M. (G) 21. Adili D. 34. Destani A. 6. Milaj A. 10. Muharem S. (C) 7. Ribeiro L. 23. Richkov A. 22. Richkov M. 16. Sadiku L. 89. Shuku E. 4. Spahiu R.	1. Jovcevski A. (G) 23. Belic D. 28. Bulatovic L. 7. Kerim V. 34. Milenkovski F. 29. Mrmachovski J. 8. Petkovski P. 4. Ristevski A. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. (C) 5. Zdravkovic N.
Substitutes
97. Akiku E. 38. Cvetkov J. 2. Enuz V. 17. Hayvali M. 19. Kadri E. 18. Murati N. 27. Mustafa B. 14. Nazifi Z. 33. Ristov M. 12. Sefer M. (G) 11. Ziberi A.	17. Angelevski D. 11. Boskovski F. 90. Dimovski N. (G) 6. Grozdanovski H. 44. Ivanovski M. 2. Ivanovski S. 24. Naumoski J. 9. Ristic P. 15. Stojanovski H. 27. Todoroski F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 2.

Shkupi is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pelister is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pelister may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pelister is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shkupi won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.11.25	Shkupi - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Sileks - Shkupi	5:1 ✺
30.10.25	Shkupi - Struga	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Shkupi	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Shkupi - Rabotnički	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.11.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Pelister - Tikveš	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sileks - Pelister	3:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
21.10.25	Shkëndija Haraçinë - Pelister	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.08.25	Pelister - Shkupi	2:0
15.03.25	Shkupi - Pelister	0:1
02.03.25	Shkupi - Pelister	3:1
20.10.24	Pelister - Shkupi	0:0
16.04.22	Pelister - Shkupi	0:1
21.11.21	Shkupi - Pelister	5:0
18.08.21	Pelister - Shkupi	0:2

Shkupi - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide