The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gostivar 65.8%
Draw 22.7%
Tikveš 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
24.1%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
22.5%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gostivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Tikveš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Tikveš aligns with the current prediction.
Gostivar - Tikveš Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ersu E. (G) 6. Ajdini R. 97. Aldair 8. Aydogan O. 88. Cheshmedjiev K. (C) 22. Diatta A. 14. Dirar N. 90. Husmani Z. 21. Mbende E. 27. Rifadov A. 17. Simonovski M.
69. Jankov R. (G) 6. Cubara A. 3. Manevski M. 5. Mojsov D. 11. Petrovic M. 7. Spahiu E. 88. Spirkoski B. 24. Stojkoski K. 8. Tasev D. 23. Todorov M. 21. Varelovski A. (C)
Substitutes
77. Dervishi E. 29. Djurdjevic F. 33. Glisic D. 15. Hamzikj M. 10. Ivanovski I. 9. Mashike E. 16. Murati M. 26. Potuk A. 24. Trajcevski D. 1. Vasilev V. (G) 4. Zuka F.
12. Dimovski S. (G) 9. Gjorgjiev G. 19. Gogov P. 16. Kocev A. 18. Manasievski D. 22. Mihailov F. 13. Rajchinovski R. 2. Rizov K. 10. Stojanov M. 1. Tasev S. (G) 20. Todorov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Petrovic M. 🟨,
20', Cubara A. 🟨,
30', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Rifadov A. 🟨,
59', Petrovic M. ↓, Todorov M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Mashike E. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 2.
Gostivar in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tikveš is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Gostivar have a series of home games.
In this match Gostivar is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Gostivar to win the game is with odds 1.38.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gostivar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Gostivar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).