Match Info

1. MFL - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Boris Trajkovski (Skopje)


	Gostivar		Pelister

	1	X	2
	1.97	4.5	2.7
	2	4.38	2.61
	2.07	4.28	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.24	2.98
	1.97	4.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.35)	4.18 ↑ (4.17)	2.74 ↓ (8.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gostivar
44.7%

Draw
21.9%

Pelister
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

21.8%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

13.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gostivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gostivar's form might have worsened.

Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gostivar - Pelister Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gostivar won 1.

Gostivar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pelister's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gostivar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gostivar won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gostivar won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.04.25	Gostivar - Rabotnički	Rabotnicki awarded ✺
19.04.25	Struga - Gostivar	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Gostivar - Shkupi	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Gostivar - Voska Sport	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ?TWLL
- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.04.25	Pelister - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rabotnički - Pelister	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Pelister - AP Brera Strumica	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Struga - Pelister	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
30.10.24	Gostivar - Pelister	0:0
11.08.24	Pelister - Gostivar	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Pelister - Gostivar	0:2
North Macedonian 2 MFL
08.03.23	Gostivar - Pelister	1:1
17.03.19	Gostivar - Pelister	0:0
Club Friendly
30.01.18	Pelister - Gostivar	0:1
North Macedonian 1 MFL
30.03.14	Pelister - Gostivar	2:0

Gostivar - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide