The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 34.8%
Draw 27.3%
Ligorna 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
28.3%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Gozzano - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Pavesi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Pigato R. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Sangiorgio L. (Pen),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Watch
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