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Current Win Probability
Gozzano 26.4%
Draw 27.6%
Ligorna 46.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
30%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
30.2%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gozzano's form might have worsened.
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ligorna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gozzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ligorna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gozzano - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Gozzano has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Gozzano has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:4 (averaging 1.5:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gozzano against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 1.8:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ligorna
9
5
1
3
17:12
5
16
13
Gozzano
8
3
1
4
10:14
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ligorna - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.