Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Celle Varazze		Ligorna

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.30	1.83
	3.55	3.35	1.85
	3.41	3.57	1.85
	3.51	3.63	1.88	Watch
	3.35	3.50	1.83
	3.53	3.43	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.94)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	1.88 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celle Varazze
25.8%

Draw
26.1%

Ligorna
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celle Varazze's form might have worsened.

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ligorna's recent form is better than expected.

Celle Varazze - Ligorna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Celle Varazze could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Ligorna is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Celle Varazze has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 2:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Celle Varazze against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	1	10
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ligorna - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.09.26	Saluzzo - Celle Varazze	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Unione Sanremo - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Celle Varazze - Derthona	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Celle Varazze - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Celle Varazze - Varese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWW
- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.09.26	Ligorna - Derthona	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Biellese - Ligorna	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ligorna - Unione Sanremo	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ligorna - Varese	5:3 ✺
10.05.26	Ligorna - Chisola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
04.01.26	Celle Varazze - Ligorna	2:3
07.09.25	Ligorna - Celle Varazze	3:2

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