The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis 12.7%
Draw 23.7%
Rio Verde 63.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.9%
25.5%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
24.7%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis's form might have worsened.
Rio Verde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Verde's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Verde than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Verde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Rio Verde Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 10th in the Relegation - Goiano 3 and 1st in the Promotion - Goiano).
Grêmio Anápolis is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Rio Verde has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rio Verde could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Rio Verde has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Rio Verde for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Grêmio Anápolis has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grêmio Anápolis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).