Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Grêmio Porto Alegrense		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.75	1.52
	6.16	3.87	1.49
	6.04	3.99	1.52	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.44
	5.5	4.1	1.48
	6.1	4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↓ (6.1)	3.9 ↓ (4)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
15.7%

Draw
23.2%

Corinthians
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

22.8%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lucilene (G) 2. Allyne 21. Brito 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 77. Gisele 13. Leidiane 80. Marques R. 7. Pini 20. Ramos M. (C) 3. Rodriguez M.	12. Lele (G) 8. Andressa Alves 25. Aquino B. 27. Duda Sampaio 99. Erika 10. Gabi Zanotti 13. Ivana Fuso 30. Jaqueline Ribeiro (C) 22. Juliete 19. Leticia Monteiro 5. Thais Ferreira
Substitutes
10. Brenda Woch 8. Drika 19. Dudinha 17. Luana Spindler 32. Maria 95. Maria Dias 6. Montoya D. 1. Raissa Tayna (G) 11. Rodriguez Y. 50. Sol (G) 9. Valeria Paula	11. Ariel 33. Duda Mineira 20. Garcia P. 40. Jhonson 1. Nicole (G) 29. Rhaizza 7. Robledo G. 31. Rodriguez D. 37. Tamires

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Thais Ferreira ⚽,
33', Aquino B. 🟨,
39', Lucilene ↓, Raissa Tayna ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Gabi Zanotti 🟨,
69', Gabi Zanotti ↓, Jhonson ↑,
69', Leticia Monteiro ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
71', Rodriguez M. ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
71', Leidiane ↓, Brenda Woch ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Ivana Fuso ⚽,
83', Lele 🟨,
85', Gisele ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
86', Garcia P. 🟨,
89', Jaqueline Ribeiro ↓, Rhaizza ↑,
89', Aquino B. ↓, Robledo G. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0.

Grêmio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.

In this match, Corinthians is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
28.04.26	Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	São Paulo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Internacional - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ferroviária - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLWWT
- Corinthians Women
Brasileiro Women
24.04.26	Corinthians - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Juventude - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	5:1 ✺
27.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:3 ✺
23.03.26	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
01.05.25	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0
Supercopa do Brasil Women
09.03.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians	0:3
Brasileiro Women
18.03.24	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians	0:3
13.03.23	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	4:0
07.08.22	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians	2:2
17.05.21	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	3:2
02.11.20	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:1

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide