Match Info

Copinha - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Joaquim de Morais Filho (Taubaté)


	Grêmio U20		Cruzeiro U20

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.7	3.45	1.8
	3.87	3.46	1.83
	3.5	3.3	1.83
	3.83	3.4	1.83
	3.6	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.15)	1.82 (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
24.4%

Draw
26.1%

Cruzeiro U20
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Grêmio U20 - Cruzeiro U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Harlley ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Cauan Baptistella ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Harlley ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Gomez R. ↓, Adrielson ↑,
64', Joao Pedro B. G. ↓, Menezes I. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Eduardo Pape ⚽,
78', Harlley ↓, Rogerinho ↑,
78', Ramon V. ↓, Smiley ↑,
80', William ↓, Gustavo ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Murilo Rhikman ⚽,
90+2', Nathan Borges 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Cruzeiro U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro U20 - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.33%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.26	Grêmio U20 - Ceará U20	3:0 ✺
16.01.26	Grêmio U20 - América RN U20	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Chapecoense U20 - Grêmio U20	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Grêmio U20 - Alagoinhas U20	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Votuporanguense U20 - Grêmio U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT
- Cruzeiro U20
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.26	Guanabara City U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:3 ✺
16.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Santos U20	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Ponte Preta U20	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Meia Noite U20	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Francana U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
11.06.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	5:1
27.08.24	Grêmio U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1
16.07.24	Grêmio U20 - Cruzeiro U20	4:2
Copa do Brasil U20
15.10.23	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	2:0
Brasileiro U20
20.03.23	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	4:2
21.08.21	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	3:3
06.12.20	Grêmio U20 - Cruzeiro U20	5:2

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