Match Info

Copinha - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Prof. Luiz Augusto de Oliveira (Sao Carlos)


	Cruzeiro U20		Santos U20

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.3	2.12
	3.06	3.66	2.03	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	2.96	3.62	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)	2.12 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro U20
30.8%

Draw
26.4%

Santos U20
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro U20's form might have worsened.

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cruzeiro U20 - Santos U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Lelis R. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Fernando ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Joao Alencar ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 3.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 2.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro U20
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Ponte Preta U20	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Meia Noite U20	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Francana U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	EC de Patos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Barra Santa Catarina U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Santos U20
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.26	Ferroviaria U20 - Santos U20	1:4 ✺
12.01.26	Santos U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Grêmio Sãocarlense U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	União Cacoalense U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Santos U20 - Real Brasília U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:3
14.08.24	Cruzeiro U20 - Santos U20	3:3
Brazilian Copinha
17.01.24	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:3
Brasileiro U20
12.04.23	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	7:3
04.10.21	Cruzeiro U20 - Santos U20	3:0
27.09.20	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:3
17.07.19	Santos U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1

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