Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Grama		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.15	3.05	3.47
	2.45	2.63	3.41	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.11	2.95	3.46
	2.12	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
42%

Draw
31.4%

Tona
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Grama - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Roquet M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 1 - 2, Fran ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grama won 3.

Grama has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grama could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grama won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Grama	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.02.26	Lleida - Grama	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Grama - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	LEscala - Grama	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Vilassar de Mar - Grama	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Grama - Mollerussa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.02.26	Tona - Can Vidalet	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tona - Lleida	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Vilanova - Tona	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	LEscala - Tona	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Tona - Grama	1:3
06.04.25	Grama - Tona	0:0
24.11.24	Tona - Grama	0:2
10.03.24	Grama - Tona	3:1
22.10.23	Tona - Grama	2:0
05.03.23	Tona - Grama	2:0
30.10.22	Grama - Tona	1:2

Grama - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide