Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	2.85 (2.85)	2.35 (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 17.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
34%

Draw
29.8%

Tona
36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vilassar de Mar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vilassar de Mar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3
18	Vilassar de Mar	5	1	0	4	3:13	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.04.26	Vilassar de Mar - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	LEscala - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Can Vidalet - Vilassar de Mar	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Vilassar de Mar - Mollerussa	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	San Cristóbal - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLT
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.04.26	San Cristóbal - Tona	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tona - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Badalona - Tona	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tona - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Tona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	2:0
16.03.25	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	2:0
03.11.24	Vilassar de Mar - Tona	0:3
21.01.24	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	1:1
22.01.23	Vilassar de Mar - Tona	2:2

Vilassar de Mar - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide