Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Grama		UE Sants

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.75
	1.38	3.6	6.75
	1.44	3.7	6
	1.47	3.7	6.11
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.45	4	6.25
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.76)	3.79 ↑ (3.28)	6.41 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grama
62.3%

Draw
23.7%

UE Sants
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grama's performance.

UE Sants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UE Sants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grama than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UE Sants than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UE Sants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Grama - UE Sants Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grama will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sants will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grama: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Grama is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grama won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grama won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
20.11.22	Rapitenca - Grama	4:2 ✺
13.11.22	Grama - Peralada	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Grama - Tona	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Castelldefels - Grama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- UE Sants
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
20.11.22	UE Sants - Vilafranca	0:4 ✺
13.11.22	Girona B - UE Sants	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	UE Sants - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Montañesa - UE Sants	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	UE Sants - Vilassar de Mar	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	UE Sants - Grama	1:0
10.10.21	Grama - UE Sants	2:0
25.02.21	UE Sants - Grama	1:0
26.11.20	Grama - UE Sants	2:0
08.09.18	Grama - UE Sants	3:1

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