Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 9

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Gramadense		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.87	3.8
	1.97	2.99	3.61
				Watch
	2.06	2.81	3.89
	2.19	2.82	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.7 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gramadense
44.2%

Draw
31.4%

Frederiquense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gramadense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Gramadense - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gustavo Sapeka ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Gramadense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Frederiquense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Frederiquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gramadense might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Gramadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.06.25	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Gramadense - GE Glória	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Gaúcho - Gramadense	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Gramadense - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
04.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Gramadense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWWW
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
22.06.25	Passo Fundo - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Frederiquense - Lajeadense	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT

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