Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Frederiquense		Veranopolis

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.60	3.30
	2.22	2.62	3.45
	2.15	2.74	3.82	Watch
	2.25	2.65	3.45
	2.12	3.06	4
	2.23	2.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	3.57 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
41.2%

Draw
33.4%

Veranopolis
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frederiquense's performance.

Veranopolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veranopolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veranopolis than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veranopolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frederiquense - Veranopolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frederiquense won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Frederiquense has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frederiquense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	EC Guarani - Frederiquense	3:1 ✺
23.09.26	Frederiquense - Aimoré	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	APAFUT - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	GE Glória - Frederiquense	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTT
- Veranopolis
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	Veranopolis - Passo Fundo	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Lajeadense - Veranopolis	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Veranopolis - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Veranopolis - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gaúcho - Veranopolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.09.26	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0
27.05.25	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	0:0
23.06.24	Veranopolis - Frederiquense	1:1
02.06.24	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0
18.06.23	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:1
14.05.23	Veranopolis - Frederiquense	3:4
17.10.21	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:1

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