Match Info

Copa FGF - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Gramadense		GE Bagé

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.10
	2.30	2.76	3.19
	2.36	3.01	3.03	Watch
	2.25	2.70	3.15
	2.29	3.16	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gramadense
39.6%

Draw
31.3%

GE Bagé
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.2%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gramadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

GE Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gramadense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Gramadense - GE Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Gramadense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GE Bagé is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gramadense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gramadense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Gramadense
Brazilian Copa FGF
27.06.26	GE Bagé - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	Santa Cruz-RS - Gramadense	2:2 ✺
11.06.26	Gramadense - Monsoon	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Gramadense - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWT
- GE Bagé
Brazilian Copa FGF
27.06.26	GE Bagé - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	GA Farroupilha - GE Bagé	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	GE Bagé - Guarany de Bagé	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	GE Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa FGF
27.06.26	GE Bagé - Gramadense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
31.05.25	GE Bagé - Gramadense	1:0

Gramadense - GE Bagé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide