Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 15

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	GE Bagé		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.62	2.12
	4.49	2.74	1.91
	3.8	2.71	2.17
	4.4	2.7	1.89
	3.8	2.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

GE Bagé
22.3%

Draw
33.4%

Brasil de Pelotas
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

33.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

32.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GE Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

GE Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(4 - 1)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

GE Bagé is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Brasil de Pelotas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brasil de Pelotas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, GE Bagé has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for GE Bagé against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Brasil de Pelotas - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.99%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GE Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	GE Bagé - Gramadense	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Veranopolis - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	GE Bagé - GE Glória	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - GE Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
23.09.26	Brasil de Pelotas - GE Glória	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Veranopolis - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa FGF
04.06.26	GE Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
27.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bagé	1:0

Upcoming Matches