Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Gran Peña |
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Barco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.42 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
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2.37 |
2.87 |
3.18 |
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1.13 |
6.00 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
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2.4 |
2.92 |
3.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.48) |
3.47 ↑
(2.84) |
7.48 ↑
(2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gran Peña
52.8% | Draw
32.3% | Barco
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gran Peña - Barco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Santin D. ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, Castro B. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Cellerino G. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 2, Fran Lopez ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Fontan Davila M. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).Gran Peña has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Barco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
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| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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