Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Gran Peña |
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Estradense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.62 |
3 |
2.48 |
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 |
2.63 |
3.19 |
2.58 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.72 |
2.88 |
2.51 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.63) |
2.97 ↓
(3.06) |
2.52 ↑
(2.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gran Peña
33.7% | Draw
30.4% | Estradense
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Gran Peña - Estradense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Fran Lopez ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 1, Coira A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Estradense - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 05.10.25 | Estradense - Gran Peña | 0:0 | | 02.02.25 | Estradense - Gran Peña | 2:2 | | 22.09.24 | Gran Peña - Estradense | 0:1 | | 07.01.24 | Estradense - Gran Peña | 1:2 | | 19.03.23 | Estradense - Gran Peña | 2:0 | | 27.11.22 | Gran Peña - Estradense | 3:0 |
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