Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Céltiga

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.45
	2.11	3.02	3.6
	2.34	2.68	3.55	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.02	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
43.1%

Draw
30.8%

Céltiga
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gran Peña - Céltiga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Gran Peña is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gran Peña might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Estradense - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWWTT
- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Céltiga - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juventud Cambados - Céltiga	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Céltiga - Boiro	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Barco - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL

Gran Peña - Céltiga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide