Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Viveiro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	2.10	3.21	3.40	Watch
	1.75	3.38	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.98 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
49.1%

Draw
27.9%

Viveiro
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Viveiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viveiro than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Gran Peña - Viveiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Gran Peña is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Viveiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gran Peña is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Gran Peña will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Silva SD - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLWWW
- Viveiro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Viveiro - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Silva SD - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Viveiro - Arosa	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Viveiro - Atlético Arteixo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.10.24	Gran Peña - Viveiro	5:4
23.03.24	Viveiro - Gran Peña	1:2
05.11.23	Gran Peña - Viveiro	2:0
06.04.23	Gran Peña - Viveiro	2:3
11.12.22	Viveiro - Gran Peña	0:0

Gran Peña - Viveiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide