Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Boiro

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.82	2.78
	2.40	3.00	3.02	Watch
	2.5	2.86	2.78
	3.1	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.33)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	2.71 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
34.8%

Draw
31.4%

Boiro
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Gran Peña - Boiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gran Peña (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gran Peña (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gran Peña (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Fran Lopez (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Recent performances by Gran Peña have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Estradense - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gran Peña - Somozas	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Montañeros - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTTTT
- CD Boiro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Boiro - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Céltiga - Boiro	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Boiro - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Boiro - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Barco - Boiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.05.25	Boiro - Gran Peña	2:1
12.01.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	5:1

Gran Peña - Boiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide