The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gran Tarajal 26.2%
Draw 30.5%
Villa de Santa Brígida 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
28.4%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
28.3%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Tarajal's form might have worsened.
Villa de Santa Brígida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Tarajal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (-4%)
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Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Tarajal won 1.
Gran Tarajal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Villa de Santa Brígida is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gran Tarajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Villa de Santa Brígida will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gran Tarajal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Gran Tarajal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.