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Current Win Probability
Granada 58.7%
Draw 24%
Alhama 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
25.1%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
18.9%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Alhama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Granada - Alhama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez L. (G) 7. Perez L. 21. Postigo C. 20. Jujuba Cardozo 15. Baquerizo M. 12. Perez A. 22. Leles 10. Requena L. (C) 6. Mingueza A. 9. Keefe S. 19. Laupstad L.
13. Belotto S. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 3. Martinez N. 5. Yannel 27. Castineyras C. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 11. Kuki (C) 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 18. Encarni 7. Yiyi 16. Gestera M.
Substitutes
8. Barquero M. 11. Gomez A. 13. Hirao C. (G) 14. Kojima M. 27. Mateos A. 28. Molina V. 18. Munoz B. 3. Rodriguez C. 5. Sierra Y. 30. Success A.
10. Alvarez A. 4. Caravaca J. 1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 19. Martinez B. 9. Pinel R. 17. Toro J. 28. Zapata P.
Coaches
Ferreras I.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Leles 🟨,
44', Baquerizo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Laupstad L. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
59', Leles ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
60', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Keefe S. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
62', Perez L. ↓, Munoz B. ↑,
73', Zumarraga A. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
73', Gestera M. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
73', Kuki ↓, Pinel R. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Keefe S. ↓, Barquero M. ↑,
84', Mingueza A. ↓, Molina V. ↑,
85', Encarni ↓, Estefa ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
Granada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alhama is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Alhama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alhama has had a series of home games.
In this match, Granada is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Granada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.