Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)

Referee: Gil M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana


	Alhama		Eibar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	2.98	2.22
	3.28	3.1	2.26	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.18	2.92	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.89)	3 ↑ (2.84)	2.23 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhama
28.8%

Draw
30.4%

Eibar
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alhama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alhama - Eibar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belotto S. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 3. Martinez N. 5. Yannel 10. Relea Y. 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 18. Encarni 7. Yiyi 11. Kuki 26. Berasategui V. 9. Pinel R. (C)	13. Marti L. (G) 11. Camino 4. Andres C. 20. Masegur M. 12. Belem A. 3. Facila G. 7. Altonaga A. (C) 18. Rico Torres A. 8. Iribarren 19. Martin S. 16. Alvarez C.
Substitutes
27. Castineyras C. 1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 16. Gestera M. 19. Martinez B. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 17. Toro J. 28. Zapata P.	1. Astralaga E. (G) 22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 6. Etxezarreta A. 14. Lacosta I. 28. Lopez M. 23. Moreno E. 5. Ojeda P. 17. Peckova A. 10. Valej E.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Goikoetxea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Alvarez C. 🟨,
39', Facila G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Yannel 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Alvarez C. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Kuki ↓, Estefa ↑,
67', Yiyi ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
67', Martinez N. 🟨,
75', Iribarren ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
75', Martin S. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
75', Pinel R. ↓, Gestera M. ↑,
76', Berasategui V. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,
82', Velazquez Jurico A. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
88', Alvarez C. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Alhama is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eibar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eibar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alhama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	4:4	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alhama CF
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Sevilla - Alhama	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Alhama - Badalona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Sociedad - Alhama	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Alhama - Madrid CFF	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Logroño United - Eibar	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Eibar - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa De La Reina
26.01.22	Alhama - Eibar	3:1

Alhama - Eibar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide