Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Granada (Granada)


	Granada B		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.81	3.38	4.23
	1.34	4.90	7.51	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.74	3.32	4.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.61 ↑ (3.2)	4.81 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
54.7%

Draw
25.9%

Atlético Porcuna
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

30.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Granada B - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Sanchez M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Espin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Recent performances by Granada B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Porcuna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Granada B is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Granada B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Granada CF B	5	2	1	2	7:4	3	7
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.03.26	Torre Del Mar - Granada B	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Granada B - El Palo	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	UD San Pedro - Granada B	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Granada B - Huétor Vega	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Granada B - Alhaurino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Huétor Tájar - Atlético Porcuna	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Martos - Atlético Porcuna	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	1:2

Granada B - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide