Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 27Date: 22 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | WebDirecto |
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Atlético Porcuna |
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Huétor Vega |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
2.95 |
3.2 |
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2.12 |
2.98 |
3.25 |
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2.14 |
3.25 |
3.24 |
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2.13 |
3.22 |
3.27 |
Watch |
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2.15 |
3 |
3.25 |
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2.13 |
3.08 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.13) |
3.08 ↑ (3) |
3.24 ↓ (3.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Porcuna 42.5% | Draw 29.5% | Huétor Vega 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Huétor Vega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Joserra ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, Ruiz O. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Echu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Montes D. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Grasa J. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1.In recent matches, Atlético Porcuna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Huétor Vega is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Atlético Porcuna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
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| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Huétor Vega - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 27.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 09.11.25 | Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna | 2:0 | | 13.04.25 | Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna | 2:0 | | 01.12.24 | Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega | 1:1 | | 26.03.23 | Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna | 1:0 | | 03.12.22 | Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega | 3:0 | | 24.04.22 | Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega | 0:2 | | 18.12.21 | Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna | 0:2 |
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