Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Gravina		Manfredonia

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.45	3.45
	1.79	3.38	3.97
	1.91	3.52	3.50	Watch
	1.86	3.63	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
49.1%

Draw
26.2%

Manfredonia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Gravina - Manfredonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Gravina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manfredonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gravina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gravina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gravina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.11.25	Gravina - Sarnese	5:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pompei - Gravina	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Gravina - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Francavilla - Gravina	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Città di Fasano - Gravina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWL
- Manfredonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.11.25	Manfredonia - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paganese - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Manfredonia - Real Normanna	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ferrandina - Manfredonia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Manfredonia - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.03.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	2:2
20.12.23	Manfredonia - Gravina	2:1
27.11.16	Manfredonia - Gravina	1:2

Gravina - Manfredonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide