Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani)


	Paganese		Manfredonia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.85
	1.73	3.59	4.22	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.1
	1.7	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	4.64 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
54%

Draw
26.5%

Manfredonia
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Manfredonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Paganese - Manfredonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Paganese is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paganese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.10.25	Barletta - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Paganese - Sarnese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pompei - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Savoia - Paganese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
05.10.25	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLT
- Manfredonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.10.25	Manfredonia - Real Normanna	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ferrandina - Manfredonia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Manfredonia - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Afragolese - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Manfredonia - Barletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
04.02.24	Manfredonia - Paganese	2:0

Paganese - Manfredonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide