Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 9

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Gravina		Puteolana

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.88	3.2	3.8
	1.82	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.51)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	3.9 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
48.9%

Draw
28%

Puteolana
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gravina's performance.

Puteolana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puteolana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gravina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puteolana than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puteolana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gravina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Puteolana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gravina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.10.22	Città di Fasano - Gravina	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	Gravina - Barletta	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Matera - Gravina	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Altamura - Gravina	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Gravina - Città di Brindisi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTTT
- ASD Puteolana 1902
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.10.22	Puteolana - Martina Calcio	1:3 ✺
17.10.22	Bitonto - Puteolana	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Puteolana - Cavese	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Molfetta - Puteolana	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	Puteolana - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.04.21	Puteolana - Gravina	2:1

Gravina - Puteolana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide