Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Grebbestad		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.55	2.45
	2.41	3.71	2.27
	2.49	3.88	2.34	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.38
	2.44	3.68	2.32
	2.25	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.45)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grebbestad
37.2%

Draw
25.1%

Ahlafors
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grebbestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grebbestad than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Grebbestad - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Zetterlund J. ⚽,
74', 0 - 2, Nilsson J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grebbestad won 2.

In recent matches, Grebbestad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ahlafors's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grebbestad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grebbestad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
5	Grebbestad	24	12	3	9	43:36	7	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grebbestads IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
01.05.26	Skara - Grebbestad	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Grebbestad - Tord	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Grebbestad - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Stenungsunds - Grebbestad	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kumla - Grebbestad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
01.05.26	Ahlafors - IFK Skövde	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Motala - Ahlafors	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Husqvarna - Ahlafors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
08.08.25	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	1:0
28.05.25	Ahlafors - Grebbestad	2:1
28.06.24	Ahlafors - Grebbestad	4:3
05.04.24	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	2:2
03.09.22	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	2:1
14.05.22	Ahlafors - Grebbestad	4:1
08.09.21	Ahlafors - Grebbestad	3:0

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