Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 5

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Motala		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.62
	2.58	3.41	2.32
	2.31	3.53	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.46	3.59	2.52
	1.93	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.88)	3.42 ↓ (3.83)	2.59 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
38.3%

Draw
26.6%

Ahlafors
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motala's form might have worsened.

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ahlafors's recent form is better than expected.

Motala - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Adam A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

Ahlafors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Motala might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 2.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Motala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
10	Motala	24	6	8	10	35:38	-3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
19.04.26	Husqvarna - Motala	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Motala - Tord	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Vänersborgs FK - Motala	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Motala - Skara	3:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.11.25	Motala - Tvååker	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Husqvarna - Ahlafors	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ahlafors - Lidkoping	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Kongahälla - Ahlafors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
28.06.25	Ahlafors - Motala	3:3
11.05.25	Motala - Ahlafors	1:1
24.08.24	Motala - Ahlafors	5:0
27.04.24	Ahlafors - Motala	6:0

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