Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lokomotiv Oslo		Grei

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.00	2.95
	2.02	3.90	2.63
	1.86	4.29	2.92
	1.91	4.49	2.94
	1.86	4.15	2.85
	1.96	4.63	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.6)	4.24 ↑ (3.95)	2.85 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Oslo
47.1%

Draw
21.3%

Grei
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

22.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

21.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Oslo's performance.

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grei might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Oslo than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Oslo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Wielens C. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Oslo won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Oslo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Oslo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	25	9	2	14	48:72	-24	29
11	Grei	25	9	1	15	48:73	-25	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
01.08.26	Vålerenga 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	3:2 ✺
27.07.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - KFUM 2	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Gamle Oslo - Lokomotiv Oslo	6:1 ✺
20.06.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Frigg Oslo	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Asker Fotball - Lokomotiv Oslo	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
03.08.26	KFUM 2 - Grei	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Grei - Konnerud	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Grei - Nordstrand	1:5 ✺
20.06.26	Union Carl Berner - Grei	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Grei - Ready	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.05.26	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	4:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
02.08.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	3:2
26.04.25	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
14.07.22	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:2
22.05.22	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	1:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.10.19	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:0
22.04.19	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	0:0

Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei