Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Gresford Athletic		Prestatyn Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	5.2
	1.41	5	5.03
	1.46	5.18	5.32	Watch
	1.38	5	5.72
	1.4	5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	5.04 ↑ (4.2)	5.29 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
64.7%

Draw
18.1%

Prestatyn Town
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

20.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gresford Athletic's performance.

Prestatyn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Prestatyn Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gresford Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prestatyn Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Prestatyn Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Johnson P. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Edge C. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Johnson P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
59', 4 - 0, Mann C. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Whelan C. ⚽,
82', 5 - 1, ap Gareth I. ⚽,
86', 6 - 1, Griffiths J. ⚽,
89', 6 - 2, Jones A. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gresford won 2.

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Prestatyn Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gresford have a series of guest games.

In this match Gresford is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gresford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:10 (average 2.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gresford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:3 (average 4.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
30.11.24	Colwyn Bay - Gresford Athletic	6:0 ✺
22.11.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Gresford Athletic	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	5:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.24	Flint Town United - Gresford Athletic	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Prestatyn Town
Welsh Cymru North
30.11.24	Flint Mountain - Prestatyn Town	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Prestatyn Town - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Caersws - Prestatyn Town	8:0 ✺
25.10.24	Colwyn Bay - Prestatyn Town	7:0 ✺
12.10.24	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
12.10.24	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	0:2
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	9:0
Welsh Cymru North
19.04.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	2:2
29.07.23	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	1:0
04.03.23	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	1:1
25.02.23	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	1:0
18.12.21	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	7:0

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