Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Bastion Road (Prestatyn)


	Prestatyn Town		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.5	1.57
	3.64	4.67	1.62
	4.14	4.78	1.63	Watch
	4.14	4.4	1.59
	4.2	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (2.78)	4.57 ↑ (3.9)	1.6 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prestatyn Town
22.5%

Draw
20%

Gresford Athletic
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

23.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prestatyn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prestatyn Town's form might have worsened.

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gresford Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prestatyn Town than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prestatyn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gresford Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ap Gareth I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Forbes D. ⚽,
69', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prestatyn Town
Welsh Cymru North
04.10.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Prestatyn Town	7:3 ✺
27.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Flint Mountain	1:5 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	9:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
13.09.24	Buckley Town - Prestatyn Town	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Llay Welfare	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
05.10.24	Gresford Athletic - Colwyn Bay	0:5 ✺
28.09.24	Bangor 1876 - Gresford Athletic	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	9:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
13.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Guilsfield	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	9:0
Welsh Cymru North
19.04.24	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	2:2
29.07.23	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	1:0
04.03.23	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	1:1
25.02.23	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	1:0
18.12.21	Gresford Athletic - Prestatyn Town	7:0
27.08.19	Prestatyn Town - Gresford Athletic	5:1

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