Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro (Gresik)


	Gresik United		Persekat Tegal

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.1
	1.69	3.27	4.43
	1.72	3.37	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	4.47 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresik United
52.4%

Draw
27.4%

Persekat Tegal
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresik United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gresik United's performance.

Persekat Tegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresik United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persekat Tegal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Gresik United - Persekat Tegal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Arham U. (G) 17. Al Ayyubi F. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 22. Hajar I. 33. Ivanovic M. 51. Jaelani A. 27. Pradananta P. 10. Renan 13. Setiawan S. 3. Supriyanto J. 92. Wilkson	17. Firmansyah F. D. (G) 16. Bhagascara C. 88. Chaniago P. 27. Hamdi Sula 96. Iuri 26. Mandosir E. 22. Maulana S. 4. Mukhlis M. 28. Ramadhan S. 7. Silva A. 8. Taufiq M.
Substitutes
38. Al Ikhsan R. 85. Ardiansyah D. 4. Arifin S. 57. Firmansyah A. 30. Hafizh F. A. 2. Kristiano A. 15. Mutamasiqdina A. 25. Muzakkar K. 7. Noprihanis R. 14. Sausu F. 34. Triaji G. 1. Yusron D. (G)	2. Amin K. 80. Bagason A. 10. Felipe Ferreira 21. Firmansyah F. 77. Herlian R. 15. Irawan K. 6. Mahmudi I. 55. Maulana D. 97. Prasetiyo B. (G) 91. Prayitno M. 18. Saputro R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bhagascara C. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Jaelani A. ⚽, Al Ayyubi F. (A),
28', Maulana S. 🟨,
31', Al Ayyubi F. 🟨,
39', Mukhlis M. 🟨,
45', Chaniago P. ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Renan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Ayyubi F. ↓, Firmansyah A. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Felipe Ferreira ⚽,
64', Ramadhan S. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
75', Taufiq M. ↓, Firmansyah F. ↑,
76', Hajar I. ↓, Sausu F. ↑,
76', Dicky Kurniawan ↓, Muzakkar K. ↑,
77', Hamdi Sula ↓, Saputro R. ↑,
78', Renan ↓, Ardiansyah D. ↑,
90+2', Mandosir E. ↓, Herlian R. ↑,
90+2', Maulana S. ↓, Mahmudi I. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Gresik United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persekat is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Persekat have a series of home games.

Gresik United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gresik United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gresik United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresik United
Indonesian Championship
04.02.25	Persewar Waropen - Gresik United	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Gresik United - Persibo Bojonegoro	4:2 ✺
24.01.25	Gresik United - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Persekat Tegal - Gresik United	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Deltras Sidoarjo - Gresik United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWL
- Persekat Tegal
Indonesian Championship
05.02.25	Persekat Tegal - Persibo Bojonegoro	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Persekat Tegal - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Persewar Waropen - Persekat Tegal	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Persekat Tegal - Gresik United	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Persekat Tegal - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
20.01.25	Persekat Tegal - Gresik United	1:2
04.11.23	Persekat Tegal - Gresik United	1:0
10.09.23	Gresik United - Persekat Tegal	2:0

Gresik United - Persekat Tegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide