Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mandala Stadium (Jayapura)


	Persewar Waropen		Gresik United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.8
	4.17	3.66	1.74
	4.27	3.58	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.36)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persewar Waropen
22.3%

Draw
25.8%

Gresik United
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persewar Waropen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gresik United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gresik United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persewar Waropen than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresik United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Persewar Waropen - Gresik United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Al Hakim A. (G) 17. Ayomi S. 4. Fardiansyah F. 25. Ivakdalam D. 81. Kogoya Y. 15. Marani Y. 6. Onna J. 29. Tjoe Y. (C) 20. Wahid A. 99. Wally R. 14. Yumame A.	26. Arham U. (G) 85. Ardiansyah D. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 22. Hajar I. 33. Ivanovic M. 51. Jaelani A. 25. Muzakkar K. 27. Pradananta P. 13. Setiawan S. (C) 3. Supriyanto J. 92. Wilkson
Substitutes
31. Ananda S. (G) 5. Fangohoy W. 66. Kararbo D. 12. Kosepa Z. 88. Lewerissa A. 9. Maker M. 19. Nawipa R. 24. Syahbas F. 90. Wanena J.	16. Afiludin B. 71. Akbar V. (G) 4. Arifin S. 30. Hafizh F. A. 2. Kristiano A. 46. Mulyono W. 14. Sausu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Supriyanto J. 🟨,
41', Ivakdalam D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Dicky Kurniawan 🟨,
57', Ayomi S. 🟨,
57', Tjoe Y. 🟨,
58', Ardiansyah D. ↓, Sausu F. ↑,
69', Jaelani A. ↓, Afiludin B. ↑,

Preview

Persewar Waropen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gresik United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persewar Waropen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gresik United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Persewar Waropen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Persewar Waropen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persewar Waropen
Indonesian Championship
31.01.25	Persibo Bojonegoro - Persewar Waropen	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persewar Waropen	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Persewar Waropen - Persekat Tegal	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	RANS Nusantara - Persewar Waropen	3:5 ✺
04.01.25	Persewar Waropen - Persipura Jayapura	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Gresik United
Indonesian Championship
28.01.25	Gresik United - Persibo Bojonegoro	4:2 ✺
24.01.25	Gresik United - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Persekat Tegal - Gresik United	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Deltras Sidoarjo - Gresik United	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Persewar Waropen - Gresik United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
21.12.24	Persewar Waropen - Gresik United	1:1
11.10.24	Gresik United - Persewar Waropen	1:0
22.01.24	Persewar Waropen - Gresik United	0:1
17.01.24	Gresik United - Persewar Waropen	0:1

Persewar Waropen - Gresik United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide