Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 26

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Greuther Fürth II		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.5	3
	2.11	3.85	3.15
	2.18	3.83	2.73
	2.14	3.6	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.39)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	2.92 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth II
43.4%

Draw
25%

Bayreuth
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greuther Fürth II's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Zietsch M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Akhalaia L. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Adiele R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 2.

Recent form of Greuther Fürth II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bayreuth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greuther Fürth II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Greuther Fürth II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bayreuth	12	5	1	6	22:18	4	16
16	Furth II	11	3	2	6	15:18	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Greuther Fürth II - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.31%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
28.03.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Greuther Fürth II	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Greuther Fürth II - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Eichstätt - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Greuther Fürth II - Hankofen-Hailing	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
28.03.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Bayreuth - Schwaben Augsburg	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Buchbach - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Bayreuth - Bayern Munich II	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Eichstätt - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3
09.03.25	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	3:1
30.08.24	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	1:0
06.04.24	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	0:1
22.09.23	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	2:2
06.11.21	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	4:0
23.07.21	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	0:5

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