Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Location: Grindavíkurvöllur (Grindavík)


	Grindavik		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.05
	2.7	3.8	2.1
	2.98	3.98	2.12
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.92	3.84	2.12	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	2.11 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grindavik
32.3%

Draw
24.5%

Akraness
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grindavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grindavik's form might have worsened.

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akraness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavik than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grindavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akraness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Grindavik - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Birnuson A. (G) 4. Adalsteinsson B. (C) 20. Gunnarsson D. 6. Hauksson V. 8. Ingvarsson E. 15. Jonsson F. 7. Konradsson K. 5. Robertsson T. 26. Runarsson S. 11. Thasaphong S. 80. Thorarinsson A.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 6. Gislason J. G. E. 5. Hjorleifsson A. 4. Jonsson H. 9. Jonsson V. 8. Sigurdsson I. 88. Smarason A. (C) 20. Thorlaksson I. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J.
Substitutes
17. Fjeldsted D. 24. Havardarson I. (G) 23. Hilmarsson D. 9. Horvat E. 88. Olafsson L. 44. Stephensen O. 95. Traustason D.	24. Adalgeirsson F. 2. Einarsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 27. Heimisson A. 14. Hermannsson B. 31. Hodzic D. (G) 28. Lindgren P.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grindavik won 1.

Grindavik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Akraness in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Akraness have a series of home games.

Akraness will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Grindavik won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Grindavik won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grindavik
Icelandic Division 1
16.07.23	Grótta - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
12.07.23	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
30.06.23	Grindavik - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Ægir - Grindavik	1:3 ✺
15.06.23	Grindavik - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Division 1
16.07.23	Akraness - Vestri	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Akraness - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:0 ✺
23.06.23	Selfoss - Akraness	3:4 ✺
16.06.23	Akraness - Throttur Reykjavik	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
05.05.23	Akraness - Grindavik	0:2
Icelandic League Cup
04.03.23	Akraness - Grindavik	2:0
Icelandic Fotboltinet Cup
18.01.20	Akraness - Grindavik	2:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.09.19	Akraness - Grindavik	1:1
15.07.19	Grindavik - Akraness	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
09.03.19	Akraness - Grindavik	2:0
Icelandic Cup
30.05.18	Grindavik - Akraness	1:2

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