Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 26

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Grobničan		Marsonia

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.75)	5 ↑ (3.7)	7 ↑ (3.7)

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobničan
69.2%

Draw
18%

Marsonia
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

19.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobničan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grobničan's performance.

Marsonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marsonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobničan than the current prediction. (-27%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grobničan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsonia than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Grobničan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grobničan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Grobničan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Grobničan
Croatian Druga NL
27.04.24	Opatija - Grobničan	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Grobničan - Belišće	5:0 ✺
12.04.24	Kustošija - Grobničan	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Grobničan - Jadran Poreč	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Bjelovar - Grobničan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTL
- NK Marsonia
Croatian Druga NL
27.04.24	Marsonia - Krk	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Marsonia	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Marsonia - Trnje Zagreb	2:4 ✺
06.04.24	Mladost Ždralovi - Marsonia	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marsonia - Radnik Križevci	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
28.10.23	Marsonia - Grobničan	2:0
07.04.23	Grobničan - Marsonia	0:1
01.10.22	Marsonia - Grobničan	1:0

Grobničan - Marsonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide