Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Groene Ster		Rijnvogels

	1	X	2
	2.66	3.62	2.15
	1.18	7.38	9.85	Watch
	2.89	3.58	2.11
	3.84	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (4.33)	4.56 ↑ (3.8)	3.97 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groene Ster
44.5%

Draw
25.8%

Rijnvogels
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groene Ster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groene Ster's performance.

Rijnvogels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijnvogels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groene Ster than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groene Ster that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijnvogels than the current prediction. (+25.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijnvogels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Groene Ster - Rijnvogels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Groene Ster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tweede Divisie (Promotion: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rijnvogels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rijnvogels is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKSV Groene Ster
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.25	Groene Ster - Genemuiden	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
14.09.25	Groene Ster - VVSB	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Meerssen - Groene Ster	3:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	Heino - Groene Ster	3:4 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
31.08.25	Groene Ster - UDI 19	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWW
- FC Rijnvogels
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	Rijnvogels - VV Zwaluwen	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rijnvogels - Roosendaal	4:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	HSV Hoek - Rijnvogels	6:4 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
31.08.25	UNA - Rijnvogels	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Gemert - Rijnvogels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTW

Groene Ster - Rijnvogels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide