Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Gryf Słupsk		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	3.35	4.2	1.78
	3.4	4.3	1.83	Watch
	3.35	4.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (4.5)	4.23 ↓ (4.7)	1.8 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gryf Słupsk
27.3%

Draw
21.7%

Lech Poznań 2
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

19.4%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

18.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gryf Słupsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gryf Słupsk's performance.

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gryf Słupsk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gryf Słupsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Gryf Słupsk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lech 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lech 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gryf Słupsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gryf Słupsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.04.25	Flota Świnoujście - Gryf Słupsk	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Gryf Słupsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gryf Słupsk	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Gryf Słupsk - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gryf Słupsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLL
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.04.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Vineta Wolin - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Gryf Słupsk	1:2

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