Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.85	3.3
	1.83	3.65	3
	1.71	4.17	3.71	Watch
	1.69	3.92	3.95	Watch
	1.74	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
51.1%

Draw
23.4%

Flota Świnoujście
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gmur T. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Delikat K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+2', 3 - 0, Noski M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Paczuk P. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

Lech 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flota is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Flota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lech 2 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lech 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15
10	Swinoujscie	12	4	2	6	15:21	-6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	6:2 ✺
28.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	1:2
25.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1
02.11.24	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	2:5

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