Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 4

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense		Comercial SP

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Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
44.3%

Draw
30.7%

Comercial SP
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense's performance.

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comercial SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Comercial SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
10.02.26	ECUS - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Nacional SP - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Araçatuba	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTT
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.02.26	Comercial SP - Taquaritinga	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Comercial SP - Penapolense	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	ECUS - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.09.25	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Comercial SP