Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Comercial SP		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.95	2.65
	2.75	3.00	2.38
	2.68	2.71	2.71
	3.09	2.8	2.46
	2.60	2.65	2.65
	2.61	3.23	2.66	Watch
	2.80	2.90	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.21)	2.89 ↓ (3.18)	2.56 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
33.2%

Draw
31.4%

Piracicaba
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comercial SP's form might have worsened.

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Comercial SP - Piracicaba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Comercial SP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 1.

Piracicaba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Comercial SP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Comercial SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Comercial SP - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
31.07.26	Comercial SP - União São João	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
04.04.26	Comercial SP - Tanabi	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Jabaquara - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LWWWL
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Copa Paulista
01.08.26	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	União São João - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.07.26	Piracicaba - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Cianorte - Piracicaba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.07.26	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	0:2
27.09.25	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0
19.09.25	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
03.03.24	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	1:4
01.03.23	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
09.12.20	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0
05.12.20	Comercial SP - Piracicaba	0:0

Comercial SP - Piracicaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide