Match Info

Date: 27 December 2020, Sunday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Goiânia

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.47	3.7	6.25
	1.43	3.8	6.8
	1.4	4.19	6.86
	1.42	3.75	7
	1.44	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	3.94 ↑ (3.64)	6.74 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
63.5%

Draw
23%

Goiânia
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

16%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.

Goiânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiânia than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goiânia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Novorizontino is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
19.12.20	Goiânia - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - FC Cascavel	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
02.12.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Água Santa	0:3 ✺
28.11.20	Água Santa - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Joinville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLTT
- Goiânia EC
Brazilian Serie D
19.12.20	Goiânia - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Goiânia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:2 ✺
05.12.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Goiânia	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Goiânia - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	União Rondonópolis - Goiânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.12.20	Goiânia - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1

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