Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Joinville

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.55	3.6	2.3
	2.24	3.55	2.6
	2.27	3.75	2.67
	2.3	3.4	2.62
	2.38	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.78)	3.5 (3.5)	2.59 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
38.9%

Draw
26%

Joinville
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

18.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

Novorizontino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Joinville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Joinville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Preto	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
21.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:3 ✺
13.11.20	Atlético Tubarão - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	São Luiz - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
21.11.20	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	São Luiz - Joinville	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Caxias - Joinville	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.09.20	Joinville - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1

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