Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 10

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5.75
	1.45	3.85	5.5
	1.49	3.83	6.52
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.51	4	6.15	Watch
	1.51	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	5.95 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
60.9%

Draw
23.8%

Rio Claro
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Novorizontino in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rio Claro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Rio Claro have a series of home games.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Novorizontino to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.23	EC Primavera - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Linense	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Piracicaba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.23	Rio Claro - Velo Clube	2:2 ✺
08.02.23	Rio Claro - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	EC Primavera - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Rio Claro - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Rio Claro - EC Lemense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.04.16	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	2:0

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