Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 8

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday


	Rio Claro		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.95
	3.85	2.75	2.05
	4.57	2.88	1.93
	4	2.88	1.95
	4.5	3.1	1.89	Watch
	3.85	3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.24)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
22.2%

Draw
31.1%

Ponte Preta
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

34%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Claro's form might have worsened.

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponte Preta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-2%)

Rio Claro - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Claro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Claro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.02.23	EC Primavera - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Rio Claro - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Rio Claro - EC Lemense	3:0 ✺
25.01.23	Taubaté - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Osasco Sporting - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWWT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.02.23	Ponte Preta - CA Juventus	2:2 ✺
01.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ponte Preta - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
25.01.23	Ponte Preta - Atlético Monte Azul	3:0 ✺
21.01.23	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.04.16	Rio Claro - Ponte Preta	0:1
08.03.14	Ponte Preta - Rio Claro	2:1

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